中国为什么是危机中的赢家

铁哥无敌

中国为什么是危机中的赢家DAVOS SPECIAL: CRISIS WINNERS
Why China Works

Published Jan 10, 2009


China is the only major economy that is likely to show significant growth this year, because it is the only one that routinely breaks every rule in the economic textbook. There is no truly free market in China, where the state doctors statistics, manipulates the stock markets, fixes prices in key industries, owns many strategic industries outright, and staffs key bank posts with Communist Party members and tells them to whom they should lend, and in what they should invest. In fact, the main reason China is not slowing as fast as the other big five economies is its capacity for what economists ridicule, in normal times, as state meddling: it limited foreign investment in the banking sector and didn't embrace the exotic financial innovations that are the melting core of the global credit crisis.

Why does China's brand of command capitalism work? The question has long intrigued economists, who tend to cast the state as hopelessly stupid, the market as naturally brilliant. Now that the United States and Europe are moving toward state control—by nationalizing the banking and car industries, and imposing heavy new regulation on the financial industry—the question has a new urgency. China, the poorest and most chaotic big economy, looks like the one best positioned to navigate what may be the worst global downturn in seven decades.

In a time of crisis, China's bureaucrats can pick from traditional market tools, like their Western counterparts, and from the arsenal of command capitalism. Early last year, as the housing market was overheating, they simply ordered bankers to cut back on housing loans: then as home sales began to fall, they offered market incentives, like lower taxes on home purchases. In recent weeks they launched economic rescue efforts similar to those in the west, including a huge ($600 billion) plan to ramp up government spending and big interest-rate cuts. But they've also issued orders that would be seen as improper "intervention" in the West—for example, calling last week on state industries, including steel and construction, to "actively increase" their roles in the economy by buying up new assets at home and abroad.

leftwall

乐观者无罪……

longlong516

讲个小故事

     中国终于有一天成为世界上唯一的最最强大的国家了。于是每年秋天雇用了一些越南人、菲律宾人、印度人、美国人、法国人、英国人、墨西哥人到北京香山扫红叶，并且把这些红叶穿成串，拿到世界各地换 ...
一只想飞的猫 发表于 2009-8-25 11:42

说的好！！！

yishlo

恩，有道理

houmin0911

不到最后谁也不能判定谁赢谁负，

asdcp

中国是这次危机中的赢家是因为中国的统计局会算，中国的新闻媒体会吹

hyczt

中国是这次危机的赢家?
赢得了什么?

leftwall

鸟语啊
有得翻译了
仍然感谢

一只想飞的猫

讲个小故事

     中国终于有一天成为世界上唯一的最最强大的国家了。于是每年秋天雇用了一些越南人、菲律宾人、印度人、美国人、法国人、英国人、墨西哥人到北京香山扫红叶，并且把这些红叶穿成串，拿到世界各地换中国想要的一切东西。
     在日本，中国人最想要的是没有被污染的大马哈鱼。一串十片香山红叶可以换十条每条五斤重的大马哈鱼。小鬼子们把换来的红叶都挂在房檐前，谁挂的多，谁就面子大、地位高。
     有一天一个小鬼子战战兢兢的对中国人说，我的大马哈鱼不想换红叶了，能不能换您兜里的糖块，我用十条五斤重的大马哈鱼就换一小块糖块就行了。中国人大吼一声说，想吃糖块？你想长劲儿和我过招？找死呀！老老实实的换红叶，不然有一天老子一生气，废了红叶，改用北京大学未名湖边上的银杏黄叶，你们手里的红叶就一钱不值啦！
     小鬼子们一听吓坏了，生怕中国人把红叶作废，面子地位都没了，于是都拼命去打渔，甚至不惜拆了房子造大一点的船到远海里去；于是死于风浪的大有人在，仍然前赴后继。
     中国人一边增加捡红叶的人手，一边大喊：怎么大马哈鱼越来越小啦，再这样，我就用五片红叶换十条鱼啦！

      这个故事是不是太荒唐啦？其实现在的中国人和美国人的关系就是小故事里日本人和中国人的关系。
中国人现在在用自己的“硬通货”换美国人手里的“纸黄金”。中国人的“硬通货”就是用环境、资源、机会和农民工的血汗为代价生产出来的物美价廉的有形产品，而美国人的“纸黄金”就是开足马力印刷出来的绿钞票。这些绿钞票对于中国人来讲，要么是想买的东西人家不卖，要么是人家哄抬物价，把三文不值两文的东西抬成了钻石的价钱。反过来看，对于手里两万多亿的外汇储备，中国人却对于国内的各种需求----包括机械行业的升级----吝于出手。
     这种荒唐的局面最终不知道会怎样的结束，现在还在谈什么赢家，是不是阿Q精神？

waiwai2005

只有等潮水落下去了，才知道是谁在裸泳！
赚积分！